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2026 FIFA World Cup

32 teams, 64 matches, three host countries. Live odds on every outright, group winner, and top-scorer race.

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Tournament winner $414.39M traded in the last 30 days

1 France 16.4% 2 Spain 15.2% 3 England 11.1% 4 Argentina 8.6% 5 Brazil 8.6% 6 Portugal 7.3% 7 Germany 5.1% 8 Netherlands 3.4% 9 Norway 2.4% 10 Japan 2.1% 11 Belgium 1.9% 12 Morocco 1.8% 13 Colombia 1.7% 14 USA 1.6% 15 Mexico 1.1% 16 Croatia 1.1% 17 Uruguay 1.1% 18 Switzerland 0.9% 19 Ecuador 0.8% 20 Senegal 0.8% 21 Canada 0.7% 22 Turkiye 0.7% 23 Sweden 0.7% 24 Austria 0.7% 25 Egypt 0.4% 26 Ivory Coast 0.4% 27 South Korea 0.4% 28 Paraguay 0.4% 29 Algeria 0.4% 30 Tunisia 0.4% 31 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.4% 32 Czechia 0.4%

The field, by tier grouped by implied probability

Top tier

10% or higher

3 teams, led by France at 16.4%.

  • France16.4%
  • Spain15.2%
  • England11.1%

Second tier

5 to 10%

4 teams, led by Argentina at 8.6%.

  • Argentina8.6%
  • Brazil8.6%
  • Portugal7.3%
  • Germany5.1%

Dark horses

2 to 5%

3 teams, led by Netherlands at 3.4%.

  • Netherlands3.4%
  • Norway2.4%
  • Japan2.1%

Longshots

below 2%

22 teams, led by Belgium at 1.9%.

  • Belgium1.9%
  • Morocco1.8%
  • Colombia1.7%
  • USA1.6%
  • Mexico1.1%
  • Croatia1.1%
  • Uruguay1.1%
  • Switzerland0.9%
  • Ecuador0.8%
  • Senegal0.8%
  • Canada0.7%
  • Turkiye0.7%
  • Sweden0.7%
  • Austria0.7%
  • Egypt0.4%
  • Ivory Coast0.4%
  • South Korea0.4%
  • Paraguay0.4%
  • Algeria0.4%
  • Tunisia0.4%
  • Bosnia-Herzegovina0.4%
  • Czechia0.4%

Other World Cup markets

How to read these prices

Each contender's price is what the market pays for a $1 share if they lift the trophy. A price of 0.18 means the market gives Brazil an 18% chance of winning. Add every team's price together and you get close to $1, with the small overshoot covering the spread.

Click into a row to trade. Your wallet signs the order. We forward it to Polymarket with our builder fee attached.