2026 World Cup teams
Live tournament-winner odds for every nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, sourced from the Polymarket order book and updated tick by tick. Click into any team for their group-stage prices and a one-click trade.
Every team, ranked by tournament odds
1
France
Group I
16.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
66.5%
2
Spain
Group H
16.0%
to win the cup
Group winner
78.5%
3
England
Group L
11.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
69.5%
4
Portugal
Group K
9.3%
to win the cup
Group winner
62.5%
5
Argentina
Group J
8.8%
to win the cup
Group winner
71.5%
6
Brazil
Group C
8.3%
to win the cup
Group winner
74.5%
7
Germany
Group E
5.3%
to win the cup
Group winner
67.5%
8
Netherlands
Group F
4.0%
to win the cup
Group winner
52.5%
9
Norway
Group I
2.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
23.5%
10
Belgium
Group G
1.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
66.5%
11
Japan
Group F
1.8%
to win the cup
Group winner
25.5%
12
Colombia
Group K
1.8%
to win the cup
Group winner
30.5%
13
Mexico
Group A
1.6%
to win the cup
Group winner
52.5%
14
Morocco
Group C
1.6%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
15
Turkiye
1.2%
to win the cup
16
USA
Group D
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
37.5%
17
Uruguay
Group H
1.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
18
Switzerland
Group B
0.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
54.5%
19
Croatia
Group L
0.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
22.5%
20
Ecuador
Group E
0.9%
to win the cup
Group winner
20.5%
21
Senegal
Group I
0.7%
to win the cup
Group winner
10.5%
22
Ivory Coast
Group E
0.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
12.2%
23
Austria
Group J
0.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
24
Sweden
Group F
0.5%
to win the cup
Group winner
13.5%
25
Canada
Group B
0.4%
to win the cup
Group winner
30.5%
26
Scotland
Group C
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
7.0%
27
South Korea
Group A
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
22.0%
28
Ghana
Group L
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.2%
29
Paraguay
Group D
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
17.5%
30
Czechia
Group A
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
18.5%
31
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Group B
0.2%
to win the cup
Group winner
12.5%
32
Australia
Group D
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
9.8%
33
Egypt
Group G
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
17.5%
34
Iran
Group G
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
10.6%
35
Algeria
Group J
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
9.4%
36
Congo DR
0.1%
to win the cup
37
Uzbekistan
Group K
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.5%
38
Qatar
Group B
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.8%
39
Cape Verde
Group H
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
0.8%
40
New Zealand
Group G
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
3.0%
41
Saudi Arabia
Group H
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
2.5%
42
Iraq
Group I
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.0%
43
Haiti
Group C
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
0.6%
44
Tunisia
Group F
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.2%
45
South Africa
Group A
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
6.2%
46
Panama
Group L
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.9%
47
Curaçao
Group E
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
0.6%
48
Jordan
Group J
0.1%
to win the cup
Group winner
1.2%
How these prices work
Each price is what the Polymarket order book is paying for a $1 share if the team wins. A 0.18 price means the market gives that team an 18% chance. If you sum every team's price you land near $1 — the small overshoot is the bid-ask spread. We pull these prices live; the number you see is the number an order would fill at.
Trading is non-custodial: your wallet signs every order, the funds never touch us, and a 0.5% builder fee on each trade is the only revenue we take.